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UNITAR/UNOSAT

Data Source - OGC

Sentinel Data - ESA/Sinergise

WEkEO: ThalesAlenia

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CV-19 Pandemic: Returning to A Better Tomorrow


The Plan

During this time of great international need and severe personal difficulty, our goal for returning to a better tomorrow is to provide Covid-19 pandemic solutions. These solutions will be highly adaptable web apps, designed in response to the pandemic, and referred to here as Covid Toolkits.

By involving a cross-section of world-class technology experts and solutions providers, we will maximize this international collaborative effort. These Covid Toolkits will powerfully reveal our Covid state-of-the-world. This will allow the world to better understand our actual circumstance.

This will include trend analyses, via dynamic and interactive web app visualizations, along with future projected scenarios shown at planetary scale. Our purpose, to dramatically increase the efficacy of any strategic response. This will inspire the world to recognize how much we are in this together.

To that end, UNITAR, FAO, the World Bank, Thales, Sinergise, Strategic News Service, AWorldBridge and others will design and build a suite of Covid Toolkits.


Covid Toolkit Priorities

Covid Toolkit Priorities are described here, subsequently followed by their goals.

Priority 1, Severity & Capacity: Key issues to be addressed will be trend analyses of infection and resultant impact to medical supply chain and vulnerability thereof. Mapping geographic region and medical facilities, with tracking of human infection rate and regional ability to respond. Our over-arching goal is to most effectively respond to the medical priorities of hospitalization resources, testing and case monitoring.

Priority 2, Food Security & Economy: Food security (agriculture) will become an urgent continental-scale concern, especially in third-world areas. Economic instability (poverty) and attendant geopolitical consequences will be exacerbated. Earth is already witnessing internal and international migrations and increasing geopolitical violence.

I. Priority 1 Goals: Severity & Capacity

a. Covid-19 Severity:

  1. Areas of Concern: Areas of increasing infection or expected high potential, based on known comorbidity numbers are identified using high-resolution satellite data with regions coded green, yellow, and red. Real-time and prospective crowding issues of concern can be identified. This will allow people see what area to avoid, and plan accordingly.
  2. Infection Rate: Nations, States, Regions and Cities, will be able to represent degree of infections by area. This will provide a color-coded guide that is instructive for individuals navigating their movement in order to avoid areas of high or increasing infection. By way of example this would designate areas as red for where there is a high case count (density) or infections trending upward.
  3. Behavioral Assessment: Individuals who are self-quarantining as confirmed carriers, could identify events and areas recently visited. We imagine a separate UN Covid web app that allows for identification of recent sensitive areas where contagion has been confirmed. Recommendations on increased caution or self- quarantine could identify specific areas of concern, limiting the need for a larger area of lockdown.
  4. Mortality: Increase accurate assessment of death rates by corroborative tracking of current morgue and cemetery activity as compared to historical norms.

b. Covid-19 Capacity:

  1. Treatment Sites: Medical facilities will show maximum capacity and degree of use. This will identify specific resources available (equipment/staff) versus needs. This would greatly improve logistics efficiency and allow for tracking of efficacy. Tracking hospitals by patient age, condition and outcome, would identify how respective medical facilities are performing, indicating which are being over- whelmed and need additional staff or supplies, or may have resources to spare.
  2. Medical Equipment: Tracking equipment deliveries in real-time would allow medical teams to more accurately predict the near-term choices they are making. If they know they have N95's coming tomorrow (or other PPE), they don't need to stretch resources by reusing, and thereby decrease the potential for infection.
  3. Hotspot Predictor: Prediction of likely new hotspots based on the profile of the population (number of patients at-risk, combined with mobility data) cross- referenced with hospital capacity and potential impact on surrounding regions.
  4. Maximum Data: Possibly one of the more invaluable contributions of involving education, is to challenge the world’s University community to find and provide linkage to *their* local, regional and national data, Covid-19 related.

AWorldBridge is fully equipped, given some support, to accept, standardize and deliver that data to a world-central database.

II. Priority 2 Goals: Food Security & Economy

a. Food Security:

  1. Famines of Biblical Scale Increasing: https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2020/apr/21/coronavirus-pandemic-will-cause-famine-of-biblical-proportions
  2. Estimate crop productivity for the upcoming season using historical and real- time satellite imagery for major agricultural areas. Identify where crop productivity will be seriously impacted and suggest best crops to plant based on projected weather. Current and projected climate factors need to be incorporated. The purpose is to assist both local farming communities and agri-business. A related example: https://github.com/WorldWindLabs/AgroSphere
  3. Minimize Hunger: Tracking the expected movement of food, versus food-deficit areas, would help in determining where the most help will be needed. Focus on calorie-negative and lowest-income regions.
  4. Transport Bottlenecks: Where is major transportation and supply-chain working well or stalled with major delays, particularly at international borders.

b. Economy:

  1. Privacy-Protected Testing, Contact-Tracing, and Quarantine: This will combine testing data with location information. Quarantine managed by each country’s chosen policy. Any contact-tracing app data needs to decay after 3 or 4 weeks (anonymized location data tracking of positive patients).
  2. Economic Health Tracker: Assess electricity usage by country and region, i.e., the NASA Black Marble, as a metric for economic health, to identify areas hardest hit and in most need of economic assistance. Cross-reference historic energy data with current use, as well as economic status and unemployment claims by region.

Additional Priority III

Proposal for University Student Crowd-sourced, Micro Data Set Development for CV-19 Strategic Response

Education & Data Access: Children’s education and their teachers’ ability to teach is being severely compromised by the isolation required due to the pandemic. Teachers were not trained to teach online. This leads to greatly diminished teaching capacity and resultant lack of learning, and has left both teachers and students frustrated and overwhelmed. Classic classroom teachers do not know how to teach via distance-learning. They tend to load up students with mountains of homework, causing students to detach themselves from learning. We must provide a professional development system that teaches teachers how to teach and learners how to learn, via distance-learning. AWorldBridge is accomplished at this method of teaching and can build those teaching modules.

I. Critical Inspiration for Data: Possibly one of the more invaluable contributions of involving education, is to challenge the world’s University community to find and provide linkage to *their* local, regional and national data, Covid-19 related. AWorldBridge is fully equipped, given some support, to collect, standardize and deliver that data to a world-central database.


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